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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-12 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 122,351.32 (+2.9%) | 4.3 | 0.8% | 4h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 35% ±22 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 6% ±5 | 35% ±22 | 73% ±35 | 77% ±48 | 1.6d | 1.33% | 0.80% | 109 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 120,781–121,468 (+1.6%) | 2.3 | 1.1% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 54× | 67% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 23% ±18 | 69% ±52 | 85% | 85% | 17h | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,979.5 (+0.9%) | 1.3 | 2.9% | 16h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 36% ±66 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 29% ±23 | 42% ±56 | 94% | 94% | 1.0d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 119,058 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 7.0% | 2.0d | 3.7d ago · 67× | 74% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 64% ±20 | 76% ±42 | 80% | 84% | 1h | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| at post · 118,907.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 118,204.75 (-0.6%) | 0.9 | 11.3% | 4.3d | 3.3d ago · 63× | 88% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 68% ±16 | 88% ±28 | 88% ±45 | 88% | 2h | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 116,673–116,677.45 (-1.9%) | 2.8 | 6.0% | 2.0d | 3.3d ago · 115× | 56% ±31 | 56% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 20% ±10 | 56% ±31 | 82% ±44 | 82% | 19h | 1.36% | 0.40% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 115,740.03–115,743 (-2.7%) | 3.9 | 2.8% | 10h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 27% ±21 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 7% ±5 | 27% ±21 | 38% ±39 | 45% ±69 | 4.9d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 101 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 114,076 (-4.1%) | 6.0 | 2.6% | 1.0d | 2.3d ago · 57× | 3% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 15% ±32 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | — | — | 90 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.