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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-10-02 13:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,776.7 (+0.3%) | 1.0 | 2.8% | 4h | 6.7d ago · 49× | 64% ±18 | 31% ±11 | 40% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 62 | 42% ±8 | 64% ±18 | 78% ±27 | 84% ±36 | 18h | 0.50% | 0.22% | 164 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,751.29 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.9% | 7h | 4.7d ago · 66× | 82% ±16 | 32% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 28% ±10 | 85 | 66% ±8 | 83% ±15 | 89% ±21 | 92% ±30 | 1h | 0.40% | 0.19% | 138 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,749.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 7,722.39 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 4.8% | 9h | 4.7d ago · 52× | 54% ±22 | 20% ±10 | 43% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 57 | 38% ±9 | 54% ±22 | 73% ±33 | 83% ±42 | 22h | 0.38% | 0.26% | 118 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,702.61–7,719.07 (-0.4%) | 1.2 | 5.9% | 12h | 4.7d ago · 62× | 61% ±16 | 26% ±9 | 25% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 94 | 40% ±6 | 61% ±16 | 78% ±24 | 87% ±30 | 21h | 0.43% | 0.46% | 220 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 7,704.08 (-0.6%) | 1.8 | 8.5% | 14h | 4.7d ago · 63× | 42% ±22 | 22% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 75 | 21% ±8 | 42% ±22 | 66% ±38 | 81% ±45 | 1.9d | 0.45% | 0.35% | 112 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 7,668.31–7,677.81 (-0.9%) | 2.8 | 9.3% | 11h | 4.5d ago · 75× | 23% ±18 | 28% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 38% ±10 | 95 | 6% ±4 | 23% ±18 | 51% ±37 | 68% ±53 | 3.0d | 0.46% | 0.38% | 129 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,653.44–7,655.18 (-1.2%) | 3.6 | 4.3% | 6h | 6.5d ago · 67× | 16% ±11 | 23% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 41% ±10 | 89 | 5% ±3 | 16% ±11 | 37% ±24 | 57% ±40 | 5.5d | 0.55% | 0.49% | 264 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,639.49 (-1.4%) | 4.2 | 10.5% | 15h | 5.7d ago · 41× | 14% ±12 | 22% ±11 | 41% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 51 | 4% ±3 | 15% ±13 | 35% ±29 | 53% ±49 | 5.9d | 0.69% | 0.55% | 180 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.