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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-10-01 20:00 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,776.7 (+1.4%) | 4.9 | 2.4% | 3h | 6.6d ago · 49× | 6% ±7 | 31% ±11 | 40% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 62 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 15% ±18 | 40% ±36 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.22% | 280 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,754.72 (+1.2%) | 3.9 | 2.8% | 4h | 4.5d ago · 66× | 9% ±8 | 32% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 28% ±10 | 85 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±8 | 24% ±21 | 52% ±40 | 7.0d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 265 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,716.89 (+0.7%) | 2.2 | 6.1% | 12h | 4.4d ago · 71× | 27% ±14 | 25% ±8 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 101 | 8% ±4 | 26% ±14 | 44% ±28 | 67% ±41 | 4.0d | 0.39% | 0.19% | 215 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 7,704.08 (+0.5%) | 1.7 | 7.4% | 12h | 4.6d ago · 51× | 36% ±19 | 35% ±12 | 32% ±12 | 33% ±12 | 63 | 14% ±6 | 36% ±19 | 49% ±35 | 74% ±49 | 3.1d | 0.46% | 0.26% | 145 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,702.61–7,719.07 (+0.5%) | 1.6 | 7.1% | 11h | 4.6d ago · 65× | 47% ±17 | 31% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 87 | 21% ±6 | 47% ±17 | 63% ±29 | 77% ±37 | 1.8d | 0.55% | 0.34% | 198 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 7,667.51–7,668.31 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 10.7% | 15h | 4.6d ago · 78× | 77% ±17 | 29% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 93 | 61% ±8 | 77% ±17 | 88% ±23 | 92% ±31 | 1h | 0.45% | 0.31% | 137 → 3 | |
| at post · 7,666.45 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,653.44–7,654.66 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 3.5% | 5h | 6.3d ago · 67× | 71% ±16 | 23% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 41% ±10 | 89 | 47% ±7 | 71% ±16 | 79% ±25 | 89% ±30 | 10h | 0.55% | 0.49% | 179 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,628.51–7,644.98 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 6.9% | 9h | 4.5d ago · 62× | 67% ±15 | 26% ±9 | 25% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 94 | 48% ±6 | 67% ±15 | 82% ±21 | 89% ±27 | 18h | 0.43% | 0.46% | 230 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,639.49 (-0.4%) | 1.2 | 9.4% | 13h | 5.6d ago · 41× | 54% ±21 | 22% ±11 | 41% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 51 | 32% ±8 | 55% ±21 | 71% ±34 | 80% ±45 | 1.0d | 0.69% | 0.55% | 125 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.