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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-10-01 17:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,776.7 (+1.4%) | 4.4 | 2.7% | 3h | 6.5d ago · 49× | 7% ±7 | 31% ±11 | 40% ±12 | 29% ±11 | 62 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 19% ±19 | 45% ±37 | > 7d | 0.50% | 0.22% | 282 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,751.29 (+1.1%) | 3.3 | 3.7% | 6h | 4.5d ago · 66× | 13% ±10 | 32% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 28% ±10 | 85 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±10 | 30% ±24 | 58% ±40 | 5.9d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 252 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,716.89 (+0.6%) | 1.9 | 6.8% | 13h | 4.3d ago · 71× | 32% ±15 | 25% ±8 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 101 | 11% ±4 | 33% ±15 | 50% ±28 | 69% ±40 | 3.0d | 0.39% | 0.19% | 213 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 7,702.69–7,704.08 (+0.4%) | 1.3 | 7.8% | 12h | 4.5d ago · 78× | 49% ±18 | 32% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 35% ±10 | 93 | 28% ±7 | 49% ±18 | 62% ±30 | 80% ±39 | 1.8d | 0.45% | 0.30% | 177 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,683.4–7,697.12 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 7.0% | 8h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 70% ±16 | 31% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 87 | 50% ±7 | 70% ±15 | 82% ±23 | 87% ±30 | 4h | 0.55% | 0.34% | 201 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,669.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 7,668.31 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 10.5% | 15h | 4.3d ago · 48× | 80% ±20 | 30% ±12 | 30% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 57 | 64% ±10 | 80% ±20 | 86% ±31 | 87% ±47 | 1h | 0.51% | 0.48% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 7,639.49–7,653.31 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 3.9% | 6h | 5.5d ago · 67× | 61% ±17 | 23% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 88 | 39% ±7 | 62% ±17 | 73% ±26 | 85% ±31 | 16h | 0.59% | 0.49% | 192 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,625.77–7,644.98 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 7.5% | 10h | 4.5d ago · 62× | 66% ±15 | 26% ±9 | 25% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 94 | 47% ±6 | 66% ±15 | 81% ±21 | 89% ±25 | 18h | 0.43% | 0.46% | 231 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.