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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-10-01 13:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 7,765.02–7,776.7 (+1.7%) | 5.5 | 5.3% | 6h | 4.6d ago · 66× | 4% ±6 | 31% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 29% ±10 | 85 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 13% ±18 | 38% ±39 | > 7d | 0.43% | 0.20% | 250 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH | 7,703.83–7,714.48 (+0.9%) | 2.9 | 8.1% | 13h | 4.4d ago · 78× | 17% ±12 | 28% ±9 | 38% ±9 | 34% ±9 | 100 | 3% ±2 | 17% ±12 | 32% ±25 | 63% ±39 | 5.7d | 0.42% | 0.27% | 235 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 7,661.45–7,680.65 (+0.4%) | 1.1 | 7.1% | 11h | 4.6d ago · 65× | 61% ±16 | 30% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 86 | 38% ±6 | 61% ±15 | 74% ±24 | 83% ±30 | 21h | 0.54% | 0.34% | 231 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D POC | 7,653.44–7,668.31 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 3.6% | 6h | 4.6d ago · 49× | 61% ±21 | 29% ±12 | 38% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 54 | 40% ±8 | 61% ±20 | 77% ±31 | 90% ±34 | 1.0d | 0.50% | 0.35% | 130 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,636.75 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 10.4% | 15h | 5.6d ago · 32× | 78% ±31 | 35% ±16 | 24% ±14 | 41% ±17 | 34 | 61% ±14 | 78% ±31 | 89% ±43 | 93% | 2h | 0.60% | 0.57% | 44 → 1 | |
| at post · 7,633.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.