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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-12 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 121,857.94 (+2.6%) | 4.8 | 1.1% | 5h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 30% ±21 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 5% ±4 | 29% ±20 | 68% ±37 | 72% ±51 | 1.9d | 1.33% | 0.80% | 113 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 120,781–121,468 (+1.7%) | 3.1 | 0.9% | 2h | 1.9d ago · 54× | 50% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 11% ±12 | 51% ±49 | 72% | 72% | 21h | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,979.5 (+1.0%) | 1.9 | 2.3% | 13h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 48% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 17% ±16 | 46% ±49 | 96% | 96% | 1.0d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 119,058 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 5.9% | 1.7d | 3.7d ago · 67× | 66% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 54% ±17 | 69% ±37 | 71% ±63 | 74% | 2h | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| at post · 118,761.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 118,204.75 (-0.5%) | 0.9 | 9.1% | 3.5d | 3.3d ago · 63× | 88% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 64% ±16 | 88% ±26 | 88% ±45 | 88% | 2h | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 116,673–116,677.45 (-1.8%) | 3.2 | 4.8% | 1.6d | 3.3d ago · 115× | 47% ±31 | 56% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 11% ±8 | 46% ±29 | 75% ±42 | 75% ±60 | 1.3d | 1.36% | 0.40% | 63 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 115,743–115,838.71 (-2.5%) | 4.5 | 2.3% | 8h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 24% ±21 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 6% ±5 | 23% ±20 | 34% ±38 | 39% ±68 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 100 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 114,076 (-3.9%) | 7.3 | 2.0% | 19h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 12% ±28 | 35% ±66 | > 7d | — | — | 94 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 118,761.4 | 116,673 | 119,954.76 | stop | -1.06% |