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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-12 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 121,463.24 (+1.9%) | 3.7 | 0.9% | 4h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 35% ±23 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±22 | 71% ±36 | 75% ±60 | 1.6d | 1.33% | 0.80% | 104 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 120,781–121,468 (+1.3%) | 2.5 | 0.8% | 2h | 2.0d ago · 54× | 65% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 20% ±16 | 64% ±47 | 85% | 85% | 17h | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,979.5 (+0.6%) | 1.2 | 2.2% | 12h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 43% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 26% ±21 | 38% ±55 | 95% | 95% | 1.0d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| at post · 119,225.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 119,058 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 5.7% | 1.7d | 4.0d ago · 58× | 75% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 69% ±27 | 77% ±58 | 92% | 92% | 2h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 118,204.75 (-0.9%) | 1.7 | 8.6% | 3.4d | 3.4d ago · 63× | 75% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 46% ±16 | 79% ±32 | 79% ±56 | 79% | 5h | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 116,673–116,677.45 (-2.1%) | 4.2 | 4.5% | 1.6d | 3.4d ago · 115× | 42% ±31 | 56% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 8% ±6 | 40% ±29 | 65% ±47 | 65% ±66 | 1.4d | 1.36% | 0.40% | 67 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 115,743–115,838.71 (-2.8%) | 5.5 | 2.2% | 7h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 18% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 5% ±4 | 17% ±18 | 28% ±39 | 33% ±65 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 98 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 114,076 (-4.3%) | 8.4 | 1.9% | 18h | 2.4d ago · 57× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 6% ±20 | 22% ±58 | > 7d | — | — | 98 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 119,225.8 | 124,207.8 | 116,673 | expired | +0.86% |