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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-12 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,781–121,468 (+1.0%) | 1.9 | 0.8% | 2h | 1.9d ago · 54× | 67% ±65 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 20% ±18 | 58% ±56 | 76% | 76% | 21h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 120,566.88 (+0.8%) | 1.6 | 1.1% | 4h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 65% ±30 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 38% ±12 | 65% ±30 | 81% ±44 | 81% | 13h | 1.33% | 0.80% | 61 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,094 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 2.0% | 11h | 8.1d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 47% ±27 | 80% ±55 | 93% | 93% | 5h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| at post · 119,608.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 117,002.5–119,407 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.7% | 22h | 3.6d ago · 98× | 84% ±32 | 67% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 12 | 70% ±16 | 85% ±31 | 88% ±45 | 88% | 1h | 1.31% | 0.67% | 31 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 119,164 (-0.4%) | 0.7 | 4.9% | 1.3d | 3.9d ago · 58× | 72% ±51 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 57% ±22 | 76% ±48 | 95% | 95% | 3h | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 118,204.75 (-1.2%) | 2.3 | 8.5% | 3.3d | 3.3d ago · 63× | 52% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 31% ±15 | 57% ±40 | 57% ±69 | 57% | 14h | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 116,659.41–116,673 (-2.5%) | 4.8 | 4.5% | 1.6d | 3.3d ago · 115× | 38% ±30 | 56% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 4% ±5 | 36% ±28 | 59% ±48 | 59% ±68 | 1.6d | 1.36% | 0.40% | 63 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 115,857.5–115,859.08 (-3.1%) | 6.2 | 2.1% | 7h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 15% ±17 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±16 | 26% ±35 | 30% ±64 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 100 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 113,970 (-4.7%) | 9.3 | 2.0% | 19h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 5% ±17 | 17% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 111 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.