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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-12 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,781–121,468 (+0.5%) | 1.1 | 0.8% | 2h | 2.1d ago · 54× | 54% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 43% ±28 | 51% ±69 | 82% | 82% | 13h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 120,423.82 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 1.3% | 5h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 76% ±32 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 66% ±15 | 76% ±32 | 90% ±41 | 90% | 2h | 1.33% | 0.80% | 39 → 1 | |
| at post · 120,129.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 120,094–120,118 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.0% | 11h | 4.1d ago · 58× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | 83% ±23 | 83% ±52 | 92% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 117,002.5–119,407 (-0.6%) | 1.2 | 3.7% | 23h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 72% ±33 | 67% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 12 | 43% ±15 | 73% ±33 | 80% ±56 | 80% | 6h | 1.31% | 0.67% | 42 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,204.75 (-1.6%) | 3.2 | 8.4% | 3.3d | 3.5d ago · 63× | 26% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 8% ±9 | 32% ±37 | 32% ±65 | 32% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 116,673–116,693.81 (-2.9%) | 5.7 | 4.4% | 1.5d | 3.5d ago · 115× | 32% ±30 | 56% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 4% ±5 | 31% ±30 | 52% ±57 | 52% | 2.0d | 1.36% | 0.40% | 56 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 115,857.5–116,003.07 (-3.4%) | 6.8 | 2.1% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 9% ±14 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±14 | 19% ±34 | 22% ±57 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 96 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 114,288 (-4.9%) | 9.7 | 2.1% | 22h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 5% ±17 | 16% ±42 | > 7d | — | — | 116 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 120,129.8 | 125,959.8 | 116,673 | expired | +2.31% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 120,129.8 | 124,366.3 | 118,204.75 | expired | +2.31% |