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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-13 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 120,781–121,468 (+0.9%) | 1.9 | 0.8% | 2h | 2.0d ago · 54× | 59% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 18% ±17 | 52% ±57 | 72% | 72% | 21h | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 120,208.5–120,346.54 (+0.5%) | 0.9 | 1.8% | 10h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 64% ±31 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 46% ±13 | 66% ±31 | 78% ±47 | 79% | 8h | 1.33% | 0.80% | 56 → 1 | |
| at post · 119,665.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 117,002.5–119,407 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 3.6% | 22h | 3.7d ago · 98× | 85% ±31 | 67% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 7% ±14 | 12 | 71% ±15 | 86% ±28 | 89% ±44 | 89% | 1h | 1.31% | 0.67% | 33 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,204.75 (-1.2%) | 2.5 | 8.0% | 3.2d | 3.4d ago · 63× | 51% ±40 | 62% ±30 | 8% ±17 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 25% ±14 | 50% ±40 | 50% ±69 | 50% | > 7d | 1.43% | 0.56% | 38 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 116,642.61–116,673 (-2.5%) | 5.2 | 4.3% | 1.5d | 3.4d ago · 115× | 33% ±31 | 56% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 3% ±5 | 32% ±29 | 55% ±56 | 55% | 1.8d | 1.36% | 0.40% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 115,972–116,048.15 (-3.0%) | 6.3 | 2.1% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 14% ±17 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±16 | 25% ±34 | 28% ±62 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 102 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 114,394 (-4.4%) | 9.1 | 1.9% | 21h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 5% ±17 | 18% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 109 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 119,665.3 | 116,673 | 121,273.4 | stop | -3.51% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 119,665.3 | 118,204.75 | 120,971.07 | stop | -3.51% |