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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-03 10:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+3.2%) | 7.1 | 0.1% | 24m | 4.8d ago · 38× | 8% ±4 | 49% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±14 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±4 | 24% ±12 | 40% ±21 | > 7d | 1.19% | 1.40% | 867 → 21 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,854.37 (+1.5%) | 3.4 | 1.6% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 67× | 35% ±10 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 92 | 8% ±2 | 35% ±10 | 63% ±17 | 74% ±23 | 1.9d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 571 → 14 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,827.36 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 1.7% | 11h | 1.4d ago · 89× | 85% ±9 | 49% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 120 | 63% ±5 | 85% ±9 | 91% ±12 | 94% ±15 | 2h | 1.41% | 1.02% | 382 → 9 | |
| at post · 84,593.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,948.7–84,079.04 (-0.6%) | 1.4 | 3.7% | 1.4d | 3.5d ago · 114× | 73% ±10 | 47% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 154 | 36% ±4 | 73% ±10 | 83% ±15 | 91% ±17 | 9h | 1.31% | 0.97% | 437 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 82,938.69–82,975.05 (-1.9%) | 4.3 | 1.1% | 8h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 26% ±7 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 126 | 4% ±1 | 26% ±7 | 45% ±13 | 58% ±20 | 4.4d | 1.40% | 1.22% | 962 → 23 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-2.0%) | 4.5 | 0.9% | 6h | 7.1d ago · 46× | 25% ±11 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 4% ±2 | 25% ±11 | 48% ±22 | 60% ±34 | 3.7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 351 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 80,897.74–81,272.01 (-3.9%) | 8.9 | 2.2% | 20h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 11% ±6 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 150 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±6 | 32% ±16 | 51% ±27 | 6.8d | 1.43% | 0.94% | 563 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,527.35 (-7.2%) | 16 | 2.0% | 14h | 19.4d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 18% ±14 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1117 → 27 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.