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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-03 14:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+2.9%) | 9.4 | <0.1% | 16m | 4.7d ago · 38× | 4% ±3 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 16% ±10 | 31% ±19 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 990 → 24 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,781.48 (+1.1%) | 3.7 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.6d ago · 67× | 32% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 92 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±9 | 59% ±17 | 71% ±23 | 2.2d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 619 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,827.36 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.3% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 89× | 93% ±8 | 49% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 120 | 81% ±5 | 93% ±8 | 97% ±9 | 99% ±8 | 1h | 1.41% | 1.02% | 227 → 5 | |
| at post · 84,818 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 83,268.12–84,765.2 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 1.4% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 98× | 93% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 150 | 77% ±5 | 93% ±7 | 96% ±9 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 1.43% | 0.94% | 321 → 8 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,948.7–84,079.04 (-0.9%) | 2.9 | 2.6% | 23h | 3.3d ago · 114× | 43% ±11 | 47% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 154 | 10% ±3 | 44% ±11 | 64% ±18 | 78% ±23 | 1.6d | 1.31% | 0.97% | 484 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 82,938.69–82,975.05 (-2.2%) | 7.1 | 0.8% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 99× | 12% ±5 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 126 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±5 | 28% ±12 | 45% ±19 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.22% | 1035 → 25 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-2.3%) | 7.4 | 0.6% | 4h | 6.9d ago · 46× | 12% ±8 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 24% ±17 | 32% ±29 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 435 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,527.35 (-7.4%) | 24 | 1.3% | 9h | 19.3d ago · 37× | 1% ±1 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 11% ±14 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 897 → 21 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.