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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-03 18:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+2.8%) | 15 | <0.1% | 9m | 4.7d ago · 38× | 1% ±2 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±6 | 19% ±16 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 969 → 23 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,781.48 (+1.0%) | 5.6 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 67× | 21% ±7 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 92 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±7 | 45% ±14 | 62% ±21 | 3.9d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 874 → 21 | |
| at post · 84,900 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 83,268.12–84,889.96 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 0.7% | 5h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 93% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 150 | 82% ±4 | 93% ±7 | 96% ±10 | 96% ±15 | 1h | 1.43% | 0.94% | 290 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,874.85 (-0.0%) | 0.2 | 0.8% | 5h | 1.6d ago · 72× | 95% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 82 | 84% ±6 | 95% ±9 | 95% ±15 | 97% ±18 | 1h | 1.26% | 1.04% | 146 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 84,518.64 (-0.4%) | 2.4 | 1.3% | 13h | 3.3d ago · 114× | 59% ±11 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±4 | 45% ±8 | 154 | 18% ±4 | 59% ±11 | 78% ±16 | 90% ±18 | 18h | 1.28% | 0.99% | 443 → 11 | |
| 30D POC | 84,079.04 (-1.0%) | 5.2 | 1.6% | 14h | 4.4d ago · 62× | 20% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 91 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±9 | 44% ±20 | 57% ±31 | 3.8d | 1.53% | 0.97% | 430 → 10 | |
| 14D POC | 83,995.62 (-1.1%) | 5.7 | 1.7% | 16h | 4.4d ago · 84× | 14% ±7 | 47% ±9 | 10% ±6 | 43% ±9 | 115 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±7 | 39% ±17 | 51% ±27 | 6.3d | 1.16% | 0.96% | 548 → 13 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 82,938.69–82,975.05 (-2.3%) | 12 | 0.5% | 4h | 5.9d ago · 99× | 4% ±3 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 126 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 15% ±9 | 31% ±18 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.22% | 1062 → 25 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-2.4%) | 13 | 0.4% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 46× | 3% ±4 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 6% ±10 | 14% ±23 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 377 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,527.35 (-7.5%) | 40 | 0.8% | 6h | 19.3d ago · 37× | 0% ±1 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 381 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.