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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-03 22:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,467 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+3.0%) | 17 | <0.1% | 9m | 4.5d ago · 38× | 1% ±1 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 16% ±15 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 920 → 22 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,708.58 (+1.2%) | 6.5 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 67× | 17% ±6 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 92 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±6 | 39% ±13 | 58% ±21 | 4.9d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 920 → 22 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,874.85 (+0.2%) | 1.0 | 0.7% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 89× | 79% ±9 | 49% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 120 | 56% ±5 | 80% ±9 | 88% ±13 | 91% ±17 | 3h | 1.41% | 1.02% | 461 → 11 | |
| at post · 84,727.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 84,518.64 (-0.2%) | 1.4 | 1.3% | 13h | 3.1d ago · 114× | 76% ±10 | 46% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 45% ±8 | 155 | 43% ±5 | 76% ±10 | 87% ±13 | 94% ±14 | 6h | 1.26% | 0.97% | 459 → 11 | |
| 30D POC | 84,079.04 (-0.8%) | 4.3 | 1.6% | 13h | 4.2d ago · 62× | 27% ±10 | 48% ±10 | 12% ±7 | 40% ±10 | 92 | 4% ±2 | 27% ±10 | 51% ±20 | 62% ±30 | 2.9d | 1.52% | 0.97% | 413 → 10 | |
| 14D POC | 83,995.62 (-0.9%) | 4.8 | 1.6% | 15h | 4.2d ago · 84× | 21% ±9 | 46% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 43% ±9 | 116 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±9 | 48% ±19 | 61% ±28 | 3.3d | 1.17% | 0.95% | 497 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 82,938.69–82,975.05 (-2.1%) | 12 | 0.5% | 4h | 5.7d ago · 99× | 4% ±3 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 126 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 15% ±9 | 31% ±18 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.22% | 1087 → 26 | |
| LVN zone | 81,396.76–82,893.85 (-2.2%) | 12 | 0.4% | 2h | 6.7d ago · 46× | 4% ±5 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±5 | 8% ±11 | 16% ±24 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 392 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 81,022.49–81,147.25 (-4.2%) | 24 | 0.9% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 98× | 2% ±5 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 150 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 10% ±18 | 16% ±32 | > 7d | 1.43% | 0.94% | 199 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,527.35 (-7.3%) | 41 | 0.8% | 6h | 19.1d ago · 37× | 0% ±1 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 369 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.