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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-04 06:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+2.8%) | 13 | 0.2% | 1h | 18.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±3 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±9 | 33% ±20 | > 7d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 928 → 22 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,741.66 (+1.7%) | 8.2 | 0.8% | 4h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 10% ±4 | 57% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±4 | 30% ±11 | 49% ±19 | > 7d | 2.08% | 1.17% | 1097 → 26 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,719.55 (+0.9%) | 4.3 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 28% ±7 | 51% ±9 | 4% ±3 | 45% ±9 | 122 | 4% ±1 | 28% ±7 | 50% ±13 | 71% ±18 | 3.0d | 2.19% | 1.61% | 1025 → 24 | |
| at post · 2,695.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,683.08–2,685.48 (-0.4%) | 1.7 | 1.9% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 63% ±11 | 51% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 38% ±7 | 165 | 29% ±4 | 63% ±11 | 79% ±16 | 87% ±21 | 13h | 2.00% | 1.31% | 432 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,665.9 (-1.1%) | 5.1 | 1.0% | 7h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 21% ±6 | 56% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±8 | 123 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±6 | 44% ±12 | 57% ±19 | 4.5d | 2.27% | 1.25% | 1098 → 26 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,662.1 (-1.2%) | 5.8 | 0.8% | 5h | 4.2d ago · 58× | 13% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 78 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 35% ±13 | 59% ±20 | 5.0d | 2.10% | 1.73% | 979 → 23 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-3.2%) | 15 | 0.3% | 1h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±12 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 595 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 2,455.95–2,518.91 (-6.5%) | 31 | 0.8% | 7h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 1% ±2 | 47% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 136 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±11 | 4% ±16 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.51% | 196 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,487.43 (-7.7%) | 36 | 1.2% | 11h | 20.0d ago · 30× | 0% ±1 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±13 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 467 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.