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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-04 10:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+2.6%) | 11 | 0.3% | 2h | 18.6d ago · 44× | 4% ±3 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 17% ±11 | 39% ±21 | > 7d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 877 → 21 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,739.25 (+1.5%) | 6.1 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 15% ±6 | 57% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±6 | 38% ±13 | 59% ±21 | 5.1d | 2.08% | 1.17% | 926 → 22 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,718.1 (+0.7%) | 2.8 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 43% ±9 | 51% ±9 | 4% ±3 | 45% ±9 | 122 | 9% ±2 | 42% ±9 | 64% ±15 | 82% ±18 | 1.4d | 2.19% | 1.61% | 761 → 18 | |
| at post · 2,700.04 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,683.08–2,685.48 (-0.5%) | 2.3 | 2.1% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 53% ±12 | 51% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 38% ±7 | 165 | 16% ±3 | 53% ±12 | 73% ±18 | 83% ±23 | 21h | 2.00% | 1.31% | 430 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,662.1–2,664.45 (-1.3%) | 5.6 | 1.0% | 7h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 16% ±5 | 53% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±5 | 38% ±12 | 56% ±19 | 5.2d | 2.21% | 1.43% | 1124 → 27 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-3.4%) | 14 | 0.3% | 1h | 13.5d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±12 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 612 → 15 | |
| HVN zone | 2,455.95–2,518.91 (-6.7%) | 28 | 0.8% | 8h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 0% ±2 | 47% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 136 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 5% ±12 | 5% ±17 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.51% | 231 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,487.43 (-7.9%) | 33 | 1.4% | 12h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 0% ±1 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±12 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 560 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.