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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-04 06:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,469 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0010), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.41 to 0.04) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+2.7%) | 17 | <0.1% | 8m | 4.7d ago · 38× | 1% ±1 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 16% ±15 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 926 → 22 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,643.3 (+0.8%) | 4.8 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 67× | 25% ±7 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 92 | 3% ±1 | 25% ±7 | 49% ±15 | 65% ±21 | 3.2d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 814 → 19 | |
| at post · 84,989.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 83,268.12–84,889.96 (-0.1%) | 0.7 | 0.7% | 5h | 1.6d ago · 98× | 90% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 150 | 66% ±4 | 90% ±7 | 95% ±9 | 95% ±13 | 2h | 1.43% | 0.94% | 435 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,874.85 (-0.1%) | 0.8 | 0.7% | 6h | 1.6d ago · 72× | 85% ±12 | 47% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 82 | 67% ±6 | 85% ±12 | 90% ±17 | 93% ±23 | 1h | 1.26% | 1.04% | 219 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 84,518.64 (-0.6%) | 3.4 | 1.2% | 12h | 3.3d ago · 114× | 43% ±11 | 46% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 45% ±8 | 155 | 9% ±3 | 43% ±11 | 66% ±18 | 82% ±22 | 1.4d | 1.26% | 0.97% | 484 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 84,079.04 (-1.1%) | 6.6 | 1.4% | 12h | 4.4d ago · 62× | 15% ±8 | 48% ±10 | 12% ±7 | 40% ±10 | 92 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±8 | 36% ±19 | 52% ±30 | 5.8d | 1.52% | 0.97% | 458 → 11 | |
| 14D POC | 84,010.36 (-1.2%) | 7.1 | 1.5% | 14h | 4.4d ago · 84× | 10% ±6 | 46% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 43% ±9 | 116 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 33% ±17 | 44% ±27 | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.95% | 545 → 13 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 82,958.03–82,975.05 (-2.4%) | 15 | 0.4% | 3h | 5.9d ago · 99× | 2% ±2 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 126 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±9 | 28% ±18 | > 7d | 1.40% | 1.22% | 963 → 23 | |
| LVN zone | 81,396.76–82,893.85 (-2.5%) | 15 | 0.4% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 46× | 1% ±3 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±6 | 9% ±20 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 331 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,402.6 (-7.7%) | 48 | 0.8% | 5h | 19.3d ago · 37× | 0% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±3 | 2% ±12 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 263 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.