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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-04 10:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,467 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+2.4%) | 13 | <0.1% | 9m | 4.6d ago · 38× | 2% ±2 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±7 | 23% ±17 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 1011 → 24 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,743.48 (+0.6%) | 3.3 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 67× | 35% ±10 | 49% ±10 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 92 | 8% ±2 | 35% ±10 | 63% ±17 | 74% ±24 | 1.9d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 555 → 13 | |
| at post · 85,220.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 83,268.12–84,889.96 (-0.4%) | 2.1 | 0.8% | 6h | 1.4d ago · 98× | 60% ±11 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 150 | 20% ±4 | 60% ±11 | 74% ±17 | 80% ±24 | 15h | 1.43% | 0.94% | 445 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,874.85 (-0.4%) | 2.2 | 0.8% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 72× | 52% ±16 | 47% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 82 | 19% ±5 | 52% ±16 | 68% ±25 | 76% ±38 | 20h | 1.26% | 1.04% | 227 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 84,186.17 (-1.2%) | 6.6 | 1.6% | 10h | 3.2d ago · 114× | 14% ±8 | 46% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 45% ±8 | 155 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±8 | 42% ±19 | 62% ±29 | 4.3d | 1.26% | 0.97% | 472 → 11 | |
| 30D POC | 84,079.04 (-1.3%) | 7.2 | 1.6% | 14h | 4.3d ago · 62× | 13% ±7 | 48% ±10 | 12% ±7 | 40% ±10 | 92 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±7 | 32% ±18 | 51% ±30 | 6.5d | 1.52% | 0.97% | 477 → 11 | |
| 14D POC | 83,994.79 (-1.4%) | 7.8 | 1.7% | 16h | 4.3d ago · 84× | 8% ±6 | 46% ±9 | 11% ±6 | 43% ±9 | 116 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 29% ±16 | 40% ±27 | > 7d | 1.17% | 0.95% | 547 → 13 | |
| 14D VAL | 83,102.6 (-2.5%) | 13 | 0.6% | 4h | 19.7d ago · 56× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±8 | 25% ±17 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 1035 → 25 | |
| 7D VAL | 82,975.05 (-2.6%) | 14 | 0.5% | 4h | 5.8d ago · 99× | 4% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 126 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±13 | 34% ±25 | > 7d | 1.48% | 1.16% | 595 → 14 | |
| LVN zone | 81,396.76–82,893.85 (-2.7%) | 15 | 0.4% | 2h | 6.8d ago · 46× | 1% ±3 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±7 | 10% ±20 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 346 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,402.6 (-8.0%) | 43 | 0.9% | 6h | 19.2d ago · 37× | 0% ±1 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±3 | 3% ±12 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 329 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.