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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-14 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 123,871.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 120,411.92 (-2.8%) | 4.6 | 1.8% | 8h | 4.1d ago · 72× | 16% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 6% ±8 | 15% ±32 | 44% ±69 | 47% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,975.18 (-3.1%) | 5.2 | 2.6% | 15h | 9.1d ago · 36× | 53% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 10% ±14 | 53% ±57 | 74% | 74% | 22h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 116,293.46–119,467.36 (-3.6%) | 5.8 | 4.6% | 1.3d | 3.6d ago · 98× | 15% ±29 | 69% ±25 | 25% ±24 | 6% ±13 | 13 | 2% ±5 | 14% ±26 | 20% ±55 | 20% | > 7d | 1.36% | 0.64% | 41 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 118,832.58 (-4.1%) | 6.7 | 8.1% | 2.6d | 3.9d ago · 58× | 29% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±52 | 29% | 29% | > 7d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 118,261.28 (-4.5%) | 7.4 | 10.5% | 3.9d | 3.3d ago · 63× | 6% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 8% ±17 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±17 | 6% ±28 | 6% | > 7d | 1.43% | 0.56% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 116,483.89–116,536.6 (-5.9%) | 9.7 | 5.5% | 1.8d | 3.3d ago · 115× | 11% ±25 | 56% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 3% ±5 | 10% ±22 | 13% ±47 | 13% | > 7d | 1.36% | 0.40% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 115,785.64–115,968.21 (-6.4%) | 10 | 2.7% | 10h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 4% ±9 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 7% ±20 | 9% ±32 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 114 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 112,611.74 (-9.1%) | 15 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 7% ±35 | > 7d | — | — | 102 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.