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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-14 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 123,057 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 120,519.4 (-2.1%) | 3.3 | 1.6% | 7h | 4.2d ago · 72× | 19% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 5% ±7 | 18% ±31 | 44% ±69 | 47% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 119,975.18 (-2.5%) | 4.0 | 2.7% | 16h | 9.2d ago · 36× | 52% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 11% ±12 | 51% ±49 | 84% | 84% | 22h | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 116,293.46–119,467.36 (-2.9%) | 4.7 | 4.6% | 1.3d | 3.7d ago · 98× | 26% ±35 | 69% ±25 | 25% ±24 | 6% ±13 | 13 | 2% ±5 | 25% ±32 | 32% ±65 | 32% | > 7d | 1.36% | 0.64% | 41 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 118,959.54 (-3.3%) | 5.4 | 7.4% | 2.3d | 4.0d ago · 58× | 50% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 12% ±17 | 49% ±69 | 49% | 49% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 118,261.28 (-3.9%) | 6.3 | 10.5% | 3.9d | 3.4d ago · 63× | 10% ±21 | 62% ±30 | 8% ±17 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 10% ±20 | 10% ±34 | 10% | > 7d | 1.43% | 0.56% | 51 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 116,483.89–116,544.81 (-5.3%) | 8.5 | 5.6% | 1.9d | 3.4d ago · 115× | 11% ±23 | 56% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 2% ±4 | 11% ±21 | 18% ±44 | 18% | > 7d | 1.36% | 0.40% | 49 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 115,658.68–115,977.01 (-5.8%) | 9.3 | 2.8% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 4% ±10 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 10% ±26 | 12% ±45 | > 7d | 1.28% | 0.76% | 97 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 112,611.74 (-8.5%) | 14 | 0.8% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 8% ±31 | > 7d | — | — | 114 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.