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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-14 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,260.39 (+2.9%) | 3.6 | 0.9% | 4h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 24% ±24 | 54% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 6% ±5 | 24% ±24 | 58% ±48 | 66% ±66 | 2.5d | 1.13% | 0.81% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,769.63 (+1.6%) | 2.0 | 1.7% | 6h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 58% ±28 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 26% ±10 | 58% ±28 | 77% ±41 | 78% ±57 | 17h | 1.21% | 0.87% | 72 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,102.14 (+1.1%) | 1.3 | 3.2% | 17h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 63% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 33% ±20 | 62% ±47 | 96% | 96% | 11h | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| at post · 118,822.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 118,261.28 (-0.5%) | 0.6 | 13.0% | 4.9d | 3.3d ago · 63× | 91% ±25 | 62% ±30 | 8% ±17 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 68% ±16 | 91% ±25 | 91% ±39 | 91% | 2h | 1.43% | 0.56% | 32 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 116,293.46–116,928.24 (-1.6%) | 2.0 | 5.3% | 1.6d | 3.6d ago · 98× | 56% ±40 | 69% ±25 | 25% ±24 | 6% ±13 | 13 | 21% ±13 | 58% ±40 | 71% ±63 | 71% | 17h | 1.36% | 0.64% | 36 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 116,094.62–116,679 (-1.8%) | 2.2 | 6.1% | 2.1d | 3.2d ago · 115× | 53% ±25 | 54% ±23 | 11% ±14 | 35% ±22 | 18 | 19% ±8 | 53% ±25 | 70% ±40 | 73% ±62 | 1.1d | 1.33% | 0.50% | 88 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,531.72 (-2.8%) | 3.4 | 3.7% | 15h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 8% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 8% ±11 | 8% ±26 | 12% | 12% | > 7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 114,643.03 (-3.5%) | 4.4 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 2.3d ago · 57× | 18% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 4% ±5 | 18% ±23 | 35% ±47 | 54% ±69 | 4.1d | — | — | 66 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 118,822.2 | 116,679 | 121,611.13 | expired | +0.20% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 118,822.2 | 118,261.28 | 120,924.81 | target | +0.20% |