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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-14 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,260.39 (+3.8%) | 4.8 | 0.9% | 4h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 22% ±21 | 54% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 4% ±4 | 21% ±21 | 51% ±44 | 60% ±68 | 2.8d | 1.13% | 0.81% | 92 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 120,229.1–120,632.58 (+2.0%) | 2.6 | 2.8% | 14h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 43% ±24 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 9% ±6 | 43% ±24 | 78% ±36 | 80% ±55 | 1.4d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 98 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 118,261.28 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 13.0% | 4.8d | 3.5d ago · 71× | 89% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 78% ±16 | 89% ±31 | 96% | 96% | 1h | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| at post · 117,815.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 116,293.46–116,928.24 (-0.8%) | 1.0 | 4.9% | 1.5d | 3.6d ago · 98× | 80% ±28 | 69% ±25 | 25% ±24 | 6% ±13 | 13 | 57% ±14 | 80% ±28 | 86% ±39 | 86% | 2h | 1.36% | 0.64% | 49 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 116,284.78–116,676.08 (-1.0%) | 1.2 | 5.6% | 2.1d | 3.2d ago · 115× | 72% ±27 | 54% ±23 | 11% ±14 | 35% ±22 | 18 | 42% ±12 | 72% ±27 | 83% ±37 | 86% ±48 | 9h | 1.33% | 0.50% | 64 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,658.68 (-1.8%) | 2.3 | 3.2% | 12h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 20% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 19% ±20 | 19% ±54 | 19% | 19% | > 7d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 114,643.03 (-2.7%) | 3.4 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 2.3d ago · 57× | 33% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 9% ±8 | 33% ±31 | 56% ±56 | 71% | 2.3d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.