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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 121,849.96–122,260.39 (+3.4%) | 4.3 | 1.9% | 9h | 3.7d ago · 89× | 28% ±20 | 62% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 32% ±24 | 15 | 5% ±4 | 27% ±20 | 64% ±38 | 70% ±52 | 2.1d | 1.18% | 0.85% | 113 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,229.1 (+2.1%) | 2.6 | 2.8% | 14h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 59% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 12% ±10 | 59% ±36 | 98% ±21 | 98% | 21h | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 118,261.28–118,676.07 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 13.2% | 4.8d | 3.5d ago · 117× | 86% ±21 | 29% ±24 | 12% ±17 | 59% ±26 | 14 | 67% ±12 | 87% ±21 | 98% ±17 | 98% | 2h | 1.03% | 0.83% | 60 → 1 | |
| at post · 117,811.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 117,328.25 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 6.8% | 2.1d | 3.2d ago · 100× | 72% ±36 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 61% ±16 | 72% ±36 | 81% ±55 | 89% | 2h | 1.28% | 0.76% | 34 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 116,420.42–116,928.24 (-0.7%) | 1.0 | 4.7% | 1.4d | 3.6d ago · 98× | 80% ±28 | 69% ±25 | 25% ±24 | 6% ±13 | 13 | 58% ±14 | 81% ±27 | 87% ±39 | 87% | 2h | 1.36% | 0.64% | 50 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 116,483.89 (-1.1%) | 1.4 | 5.2% | 1.8d | 3.3d ago · 85× | 82% ±25 | 61% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 48% ±13 | 82% ±25 | 93% ±30 | 93% | 5h | 1.39% | 0.31% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,658.68 (-1.8%) | 2.3 | 3.2% | 12h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 20% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 18% ±19 | 18% ±43 | 18% | 18% | > 7d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 114,643.03 (-2.7%) | 3.4 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 2.3d ago · 57× | 33% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 9% ±7 | 32% ±31 | 56% ±56 | 71% | 2.3d | — | — | 55 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.