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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-04 22:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+1.5%) | 5.0 | 0.3% | 2h | 18.6d ago · 44× | 20% ±8 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±8 | 40% ±18 | 61% ±26 | 4.5d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 543 → 13 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,736.27 (+0.2%) | 0.8 | 1.3% | 6h | 1.8d ago · 69× | 82% ±11 | 57% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 62% ±6 | 82% ±11 | 89% ±15 | 93% ±19 | 2h | 2.08% | 1.17% | 295 → 7 | |
| at post · 2,729.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,719.55 (-0.4%) | 1.2 | 1.3% | 6h | 1.8d ago · 64× | 82% ±12 | 44% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 51% ±11 | 81 | 48% ±7 | 82% ±12 | 88% ±18 | 93% ±22 | 5h | 1.55% | 2.05% | 226 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,662.84–2,716.81 (-0.5%) | 1.6 | 1.3% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 66% ±11 | 47% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 136 | 33% ±5 | 66% ±11 | 79% ±17 | 86% ±21 | 9h | 1.90% | 1.51% | 417 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 2,679.68–2,684.75 (-1.7%) | 5.5 | 2.7% | 1.4d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 22% ±8 | 51% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 38% ±7 | 166 | 4% ±2 | 22% ±8 | 45% ±17 | 64% ±26 | 3.8d | 1.99% | 1.30% | 551 → 13 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,662.16–2,664.45 (-2.4%) | 8.0 | 1.3% | 9h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 10% ±4 | 53% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±4 | 28% ±11 | 48% ±19 | > 7d | 2.21% | 1.43% | 1073 → 26 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-4.4%) | 15 | 0.5% | 2h | 13.5d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±12 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 610 → 15 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,491.93 (-8.7%) | 29 | 2.0% | 17h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 0% ±1 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±13 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 715 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.