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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-05 02:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+1.5%) | 4.3 | 0.4% | 2h | 18.4d ago · 44× | 26% ±10 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 4% ±2 | 26% ±10 | 48% ±19 | 68% ±28 | 3.4d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 470 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,736.27 (+0.2%) | 0.6 | 1.6% | 8h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 85% ±10 | 57% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 64% ±6 | 85% ±10 | 91% ±15 | 94% ±19 | 2h | 2.08% | 1.17% | 272 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,730.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,662.84–2,721.31 (-0.3%) | 0.9 | 1.5% | 7h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 83% ±9 | 47% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 136 | 60% ±5 | 83% ±9 | 88% ±13 | 92% ±16 | 2h | 1.90% | 1.51% | 449 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,721 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 1.5% | 7h | 1.7d ago · 64× | 84% ±12 | 44% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 51% ±11 | 81 | 59% ±6 | 84% ±12 | 91% ±16 | 96% ±18 | 2h | 1.55% | 2.05% | 229 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 2,679.68–2,684.75 (-1.7%) | 4.8 | 3.1% | 1.6d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 27% ±9 | 51% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 38% ±7 | 166 | 5% ±2 | 27% ±9 | 51% ±18 | 68% ±25 | 2.9d | 1.99% | 1.30% | 533 → 13 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,663.97–2,664.45 (-2.4%) | 6.9 | 1.6% | 10h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 12% ±5 | 53% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±5 | 32% ±12 | 52% ±19 | 5.5d | 2.21% | 1.43% | 1112 → 26 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-4.4%) | 13 | 0.5% | 2h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±5 | 9% ±14 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 653 → 16 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,491.93 (-8.7%) | 25 | 2.3% | 20h | 20.0d ago · 30× | 1% ±1 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 11% ±14 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 857 → 20 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.