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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-05 06:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+1.7%) | 3.9 | 0.5% | 3h | 18.4d ago · 44× | 29% ±11 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±10 | 51% ±20 | 71% ±28 | 2.9d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 429 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,736.27 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 1.9% | 10h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 81% ±10 | 57% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 58% ±5 | 81% ±10 | 89% ±15 | 93% ±18 | 3h | 2.08% | 1.17% | 323 → 8 | |
| at post · 2,724.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,662.84–2,721.31 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 1.9% | 9h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 90% ±8 | 47% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 136 | 72% ±5 | 90% ±8 | 92% ±12 | 95% ±15 | 1h | 1.90% | 1.51% | 329 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,719.96 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.0% | 9h | 1.7d ago · 64× | 92% ±10 | 44% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 51% ±11 | 81 | 71% ±7 | 92% ±10 | 94% ±15 | 96% ±18 | 2h | 1.55% | 2.05% | 167 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 2,680.37–2,684.75 (-1.5%) | 3.4 | 3.9% | 2.0d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 41% ±10 | 51% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 38% ±7 | 166 | 9% ±2 | 41% ±10 | 63% ±18 | 77% ±24 | 1.6d | 1.99% | 1.30% | 519 → 12 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 2,665.25–2,665.78 (-2.2%) | 5.0 | 2.1% | 15h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 20% ±6 | 53% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±6 | 42% ±12 | 60% ±19 | 4.4d | 2.21% | 1.43% | 1095 → 26 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-4.3%) | 9.8 | 0.6% | 2h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 3% ±3 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±9 | 15% ±18 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 626 → 15 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,491.93 (-8.5%) | 20 | 2.8% | 1.0d | 20.0d ago · 30× | 1% ±1 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 15% ±14 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1012 → 24 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.