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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-05 10:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+2.0%) | 4.5 | 0.5% | 3h | 18.4d ago · 44× | 24% ±9 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 4% ±2 | 24% ±9 | 45% ±19 | 65% ±27 | 3.6d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 492 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,736.27 (+0.7%) | 1.6 | 2.0% | 10h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 68% ±12 | 57% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 36% ±5 | 68% ±12 | 79% ±19 | 88% ±23 | 9h | 2.08% | 1.17% | 325 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,720.01 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.2% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 86% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 4% ±3 | 45% ±9 | 122 | 72% ±5 | 86% ±10 | 93% ±13 | 96% ±16 | 1h | 2.19% | 1.61% | 259 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,716.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 2,680.02–2,684.75 (-1.2%) | 2.6 | 4.0% | 2.0d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 48% ±11 | 51% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 38% ±7 | 166 | 13% ±3 | 48% ±11 | 68% ±17 | 81% ±22 | 1.1d | 1.99% | 1.30% | 510 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,665.78–2,666.25 (-1.8%) | 4.1 | 2.2% | 16h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 25% ±7 | 53% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 4% ±1 | 25% ±7 | 48% ±13 | 63% ±19 | 3.3d | 2.21% | 1.43% | 1012 → 24 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-4.0%) | 8.9 | 0.7% | 2h | 13.3d ago · 46× | 4% ±4 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 10% ±10 | 17% ±20 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 591 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 2,464.94–2,514.42 (-7.4%) | 17 | 2.3% | 19h | 1.6d ago · 84× | 2% ±3 | 47% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 136 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±12 | 11% ±21 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.51% | 359 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,491.93 (-8.3%) | 19 | 2.9% | 1.0d | 20.0d ago · 30× | 1% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±6 | 16% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1038 → 25 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.