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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-05 14:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+2.5%) | 4.8 | 0.6% | 3h | 18.4d ago · 44× | 21% ±9 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±8 | 41% ±18 | 62% ±26 | 4.4d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 528 → 13 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,734.46 (+1.2%) | 2.2 | 2.2% | 11h | 1.6d ago · 69× | 59% ±13 | 57% ±10 | 6% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 94 | 23% ±4 | 59% ±13 | 74% ±20 | 85% ±25 | 16h | 2.08% | 1.17% | 341 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,722.63 (+0.7%) | 1.4 | 2.5% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 63% ±11 | 51% ±9 | 4% ±3 | 45% ±9 | 122 | 36% ±4 | 63% ±11 | 79% ±16 | 90% ±17 | 10h | 2.19% | 1.61% | 467 → 11 | |
| at post · 2,703.06 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,694.44 (-0.3%) | 0.6 | 4.2% | 1.7d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 87% ±7 | 52% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 39% ±7 | 166 | 69% ±4 | 87% ±7 | 93% ±10 | 96% ±10 | 1h | 2.06% | 1.22% | 489 → 12 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,683.08–2,684.75 (-0.7%) | 1.3 | 4.6% | 2.3d | 1.3d ago · 84× | 73% ±11 | 50% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 37% ±8 | 128 | 45% ±5 | 73% ±11 | 86% ±14 | 90% ±20 | 6h | 1.95% | 1.36% | 396 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,663.97–2,670.19 (-1.2%) | 2.3 | 3.0% | 24h | 4.0d ago · 84× | 37% ±9 | 53% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 11% ±2 | 37% ±9 | 59% ±16 | 71% ±23 | 2.1d | 2.21% | 1.43% | 648 → 15 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-3.5%) | 6.7 | 0.8% | 3h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 10% ±7 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 20% ±15 | 27% ±26 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 463 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 2,464.94–2,514.42 (-7.0%) | 13 | 2.6% | 22h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 2% ±3 | 47% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 136 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±12 | 16% ±22 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.51% | 452 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,491.93 (-7.8%) | 15 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 20.0d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±7 | 21% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1161 → 28 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.