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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-05 18:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+2.3%) | 4.1 | 0.6% | 4h | 18.4d ago · 44× | 27% ±10 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 4% ±2 | 27% ±10 | 49% ±20 | 70% ±27 | 3.1d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 447 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,723.94–2,730.85 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 2.6% | 14h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 73% ±10 | 54% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 122 | 49% ±5 | 73% ±10 | 84% ±15 | 91% ±18 | 5h | 2.14% | 1.42% | 418 → 10 | |
| at post · 2,709.18 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,694.44 (-0.5%) | 1.0 | 4.7% | 1.9d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 82% ±8 | 52% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 39% ±7 | 166 | 62% ±4 | 82% ±8 | 91% ±10 | 95% ±12 | 2h | 2.06% | 1.22% | 570 → 14 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,683.08–2,684.75 (-0.9%) | 1.6 | 5.0% | 2.5d | 1.2d ago · 84× | 65% ±12 | 50% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 37% ±8 | 128 | 32% ±5 | 65% ±12 | 81% ±18 | 87% ±23 | 11h | 1.95% | 1.36% | 349 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,663.97–2,671.5 (-1.4%) | 2.5 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 84× | 35% ±9 | 53% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 40% ±9 | 123 | 11% ±2 | 35% ±9 | 57% ±16 | 69% ±22 | 2.2d | 2.21% | 1.43% | 695 → 17 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-3.7%) | 6.6 | 0.8% | 3h | 13.3d ago · 46× | 10% ±7 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 20% ±15 | 28% ±26 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 462 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 2,464.94–2,514.42 (-7.2%) | 13 | 2.8% | 1.0d | 1.6d ago · 84× | 2% ±3 | 47% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 136 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±12 | 18% ±23 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.51% | 461 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,496.43 (-7.9%) | 14 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 20.0d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±7 | 22% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1192 → 28 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.