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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-04 22:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,467 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.42 to 0.06) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+1.0%) | 4.0 | <0.1% | 13m | 4.6d ago · 38× | 28% ±11 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 5% ±2 | 28% ±11 | 55% ±20 | 67% ±29 | 2.5d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 411 → 10 | |
| at post · 86,399.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 85,888.02–86,012.77 (-0.4%) | 1.8 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 98× | 66% ±11 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 151 | 27% ±4 | 66% ±11 | 78% ±16 | 82% ±23 | 11h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 454 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,678.02 (-0.8%) | 3.3 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 39% ±15 | 46% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 67 | 7% ±3 | 39% ±15 | 67% ±25 | 80% ±32 | 1.7d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 249 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 84,969.84 (-1.7%) | 6.6 | 0.9% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 72× | 16% ±12 | 47% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 83 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±12 | 40% ±29 | 53% ±44 | 4.6d | 1.26% | 1.04% | 196 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,948.7–84,079.04 (-2.7%) | 11 | 2.3% | 19h | 3.2d ago · 114× | 5% ±4 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 156 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±4 | 20% ±14 | 39% ±26 | > 7d | 1.31% | 0.96% | 543 → 13 | |
| 14D VAL | 83,117.4 (-3.8%) | 15 | 0.9% | 6h | 19.7d ago · 56× | 2% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±8 | 24% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 942 → 22 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-4.1%) | 16 | 0.6% | 3h | 6.8d ago · 46× | 1% ±3 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±6 | 9% ±20 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 319 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 82,880.06 (-4.1%) | 16 | 0.5% | 3h | 5.8d ago · 99× | 3% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 126 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±14 | 31% ±26 | > 7d | 1.48% | 1.16% | 488 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,402.6 (-9.3%) | 37 | 1.2% | 8h | 19.2d ago · 37× | 0% ±1 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 9% ±17 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 470 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.