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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-05 02:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,465 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.40 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+0.9%) | 2.8 | 0.1% | 17m | 4.5d ago · 38× | 43% ±14 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 11% ±4 | 43% ±14 | 68% ±23 | 81% ±29 | 1.2d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 292 → 7 | |
| at post · 86,492.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 85,888.02–86,012.77 (-0.6%) | 1.7 | 1.4% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 98× | 66% ±11 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 151 | 28% ±4 | 66% ±11 | 78% ±16 | 82% ±23 | 11h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 452 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,653.24 (-1.0%) | 3.1 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 58× | 42% ±15 | 46% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 67 | 9% ±4 | 42% ±15 | 68% ±24 | 81% ±31 | 1.6d | 1.29% | 0.91% | 245 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 85,159.82 (-1.5%) | 4.8 | 1.2% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 72× | 23% ±13 | 47% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 83 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±13 | 48% ±26 | 61% ±39 | 3.3d | 1.26% | 1.04% | 255 → 6 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,948.7–84,079.04 (-2.8%) | 8.8 | 2.9% | 1.0d | 3.1d ago · 114× | 7% ±5 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 156 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 27% ±16 | 43% ±27 | > 7d | 1.31% | 0.96% | 557 → 13 | |
| 14D VAL | 83,117.31 (-3.9%) | 12 | 1.1% | 8h | 19.5d ago · 56× | 3% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 12% ±8 | 26% ±17 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 1076 → 26 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-4.2%) | 13 | 0.7% | 4h | 6.7d ago · 46× | 2% ±4 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 5% ±9 | 12% ±21 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 377 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 82,880.06 (-4.2%) | 13 | 0.7% | 4h | 5.7d ago · 99× | 5% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 126 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 18% ±12 | 36% ±24 | > 7d | 1.48% | 1.16% | 682 → 16 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,402.6 (-9.4%) | 29 | 1.6% | 11h | 19.0d ago · 37× | 0% ±1 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 11% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 707 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.