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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-05 06:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,465 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.40 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+1.2%) | 3.0 | 0.1% | 22m | 4.5d ago · 38× | 40% ±13 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 8% ±3 | 40% ±13 | 67% ±22 | 80% ±30 | 1.4d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 311 → 7 | |
| at post · 86,214.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 85,763.26–86,137.53 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 1.8% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 98× | 93% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 151 | 76% ±5 | 93% ±7 | 96% ±9 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 329 → 8 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,659.05 (-0.6%) | 1.6 | 1.7% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 58× | 62% ±17 | 46% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 67 | 35% ±7 | 62% ±17 | 78% ±26 | 92% ±27 | 10h | 1.29% | 0.91% | 185 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 85,302.31 (-1.1%) | 2.6 | 1.7% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 72× | 46% ±15 | 47% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 83 | 14% ±4 | 45% ±15 | 67% ±26 | 74% ±35 | 1.3d | 1.26% | 1.04% | 240 → 6 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,948.7–84,079.04 (-2.5%) | 6.2 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 114× | 14% ±7 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 156 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±7 | 39% ±17 | 54% ±27 | 4.7d | 1.31% | 0.96% | 556 → 13 | |
| 14D VAL | 83,099.73 (-3.6%) | 9.0 | 1.4% | 10h | 19.6d ago · 56× | 5% ±3 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 17% ±9 | 33% ±18 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 1057 → 25 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-3.9%) | 9.6 | 0.9% | 5h | 6.7d ago · 46× | 8% ±6 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 0% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 16% ±14 | 25% ±26 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 462 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 82,880.06 (-3.9%) | 9.6 | 0.8% | 5h | 5.7d ago · 99× | 8% ±4 | 55% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 126 | 1% ±0 | 8% ±4 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±21 | > 7d | 1.48% | 1.16% | 904 → 22 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,402.6 (-9.1%) | 23 | 1.9% | 13h | 19.1d ago · 37× | 1% ±1 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 12% ±14 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 941 → 22 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.