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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-15 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 121,849.96 (+2.6%) | 3.6 | 1.8% | 8h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 33% ±22 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 6% ±5 | 33% ±22 | 72% ±36 | 76% ±48 | 1.5d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 108 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,229.1 (+1.2%) | 1.7 | 2.6% | 13h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 63% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 25% ±17 | 58% ±48 | 96% | 96% | 15h | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 119,340.4 (+0.5%) | 0.6 | 6.1% | 1.6d | 3.7d ago · 67× | 71% ±31 | 54% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 53% ±14 | 71% ±31 | 73% ±50 | 76% | 4h | 1.13% | 0.81% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 118,781.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 118,261.28–118,502.16 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 11.7% | 3.7d | 3.4d ago · 115× | 90% ±21 | 56% ±23 | 9% ±13 | 35% ±22 | 18 | 70% ±13 | 89% ±21 | 92% ±30 | 92% | 1h | 1.36% | 0.51% | 46 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 117,589.12 (-1.0%) | 1.4 | 8.0% | 2.4d | 1.2d ago · 101× | 61% ±30 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 29% ±11 | 61% ±29 | 72% ±44 | 81% ±55 | 12h | 1.28% | 0.76% | 63 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 116,420.42–116,928.24 (-1.6%) | 2.2 | 4.2% | 1.3d | 3.7d ago · 98× | 55% ±40 | 69% ±25 | 25% ±24 | 6% ±13 | 13 | 18% ±11 | 59% ±36 | 73% ±62 | 73% | 20h | 1.36% | 0.64% | 43 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,658.68 (-2.6%) | 3.6 | 3.0% | 11h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 7% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 6% ±9 | 6% ±21 | 10% ±41 | 10% | > 7d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 113,817.82 (-4.2%) | 5.8 | 2.9% | 1.3d | 3.4d ago · 85× | 25% ±28 | 61% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 3% ±5 | 24% ±26 | 42% ±56 | 42% | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.31% | 58 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 112,484.78 (-5.3%) | 7.3 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 10% ±24 | 29% ±51 | > 7d | — | — | 106 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.