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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-15 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,387.35 (+3.0%) | 4.5 | 0.5% | 2h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 23% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 5% ±5 | 22% ±22 | 54% ±44 | 64% ±67 | 2.6d | 1.13% | 0.81% | 84 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 121,763.01 (+2.5%) | 3.7 | 1.8% | 8h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 32% ±22 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 6% ±4 | 32% ±21 | 73% ±36 | 77% ±48 | 1.6d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 111 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,229.1 (+1.2%) | 1.8 | 2.4% | 12h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 63% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 22% ±15 | 58% ±43 | 97% ±24 | 97% | 19h | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| at post · 118,823.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 118,676.07–118,769.1 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 9.7% | 3.0d | 3.3d ago · 115× | 92% ±22 | 56% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 33% ±22 | 18 | 72% ±14 | 92% ±20 | 95% ±31 | 95% | 1h | 1.36% | 0.40% | 39 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,261.28 (-0.5%) | 0.7 | 11.4% | 4.2d | 3.3d ago · 63× | 89% ±25 | 62% ±30 | 8% ±17 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 66% ±15 | 89% ±25 | 92% ±38 | 92% | 2h | 1.43% | 0.56% | 36 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 117,589.12 (-1.0%) | 1.6 | 7.3% | 2.2d | 3.2d ago · 100× | 56% ±29 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 22% ±10 | 55% ±29 | 67% ±46 | 75% ±60 | 19h | 1.28% | 0.76% | 67 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 116,420.42–116,928.24 (-1.6%) | 2.4 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 3.6d ago · 98× | 50% ±37 | 69% ±25 | 25% ±24 | 6% ±13 | 13 | 16% ±10 | 54% ±35 | 66% ±53 | 66% | 21h | 1.36% | 0.64% | 48 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,658.68 (-2.7%) | 4.0 | 2.7% | 10h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 6% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±7 | 5% ±18 | 8% ±38 | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 114,643.03 (-3.5%) | 5.3 | 2.8% | 1.0d | 2.3d ago · 57× | 8% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±14 | 23% ±37 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.