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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-15 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 123,783.86 (+4.4%) | 8.2 | 0.3% | 2h | 3.7d ago · 67× | 18% ±19 | 54% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±41 | 62% ±67 | 4.8d | 1.13% | 0.81% | 97 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 121,763.01 (+2.7%) | 5.0 | 1.4% | 6h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 26% ±20 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 5% ±4 | 25% ±19 | 67% ±38 | 71% ±52 | 1.9d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 116 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,229.1 (+1.4%) | 2.6 | 1.9% | 9h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 59% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 11% ±9 | 55% ±37 | 98% ±20 | 98% | 21h | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 118,769.1–118,849.98 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 7.6% | 2.4d | 3.5d ago · 117× | 90% ±19 | 33% ±25 | 15% ±19 | 52% ±26 | 14 | 73% ±12 | 90% ±19 | 98% ±17 | 98% | 1h | 0.99% | 0.78% | 53 → 1 | |
| at post · 118,587.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 118,261.28 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 9.1% | 3.4d | 3.3d ago · 63× | 91% ±25 | 62% ±30 | 8% ±17 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 67% ±16 | 92% ±22 | 92% ±38 | 92% | 2h | 1.43% | 0.56% | 34 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 117,589.12 (-0.8%) | 1.6 | 5.8% | 1.7d | 3.2d ago · 100× | 57% ±29 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 22% ±10 | 55% ±29 | 66% ±46 | 74% ±60 | 19h | 1.28% | 0.76% | 67 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 116,420.42–116,928.24 (-1.4%) | 2.6 | 3.0% | 22h | 3.6d ago · 98× | 47% ±37 | 69% ±25 | 25% ±24 | 6% ±13 | 13 | 12% ±9 | 50% ±35 | 63% ±55 | 63% | 1.0d | 1.36% | 0.64% | 48 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,531.72 (-2.6%) | 4.8 | 2.4% | 10h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 15% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±5 | 14% ±24 | 16% ±42 | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 50 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 115,023.9 (-3.0%) | 5.6 | 2.8% | 21h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 4% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±3 | 4% ±10 | 18% ±33 | 37% ±67 | > 7d | — | — | 94 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 118,587.2 | 117,589.12 | 121,763.01 | target | +0.75% |
| 14d | POC | short | 118,587.2 | 115,023.9 | 123,783.86 | expired | +0.75% |