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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-15 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 123,783.86 (+5.5%) | 11 | 0.3% | 2h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 13% ±18 | 54% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 13% ±18 | 18% ±34 | 57% ±69 | 6.2d | 1.13% | 0.81% | 83 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 121,422.02 (+3.5%) | 7.2 | 1.0% | 4h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 21% ±22 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 20% ±22 | 63% ±47 | 69% ±64 | 2.2d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 79 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,229.1 (+2.5%) | 5.1 | 1.8% | 8h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 28% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±4 | 28% ±26 | 62% ±47 | 67% ±65 | 2.2d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 118,261.28–118,678.34 (+0.8%) | 1.7 | 8.2% | 3.1d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 72% ±39 | 33% ±25 | 15% ±19 | 52% ±26 | 14 | 27% ±17 | 72% ±39 | 90% ±42 | 90% | 12h | 0.99% | 0.78% | 27 → 1 | |
| at post · 117,307.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 117,285.39 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 1.2d ago · 101× | 81% ±39 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 64% ±18 | 82% ±38 | 86% | 93% | 2h | 1.28% | 0.76% | 26 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 115,531.72 (-1.5%) | 3.1 | 2.2% | 9h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 9% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 7% ±10 | 7% ±25 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 115,150.86 (-1.8%) | 3.7 | 2.6% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 24% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 6% ±6 | 23% ±25 | 43% ±49 | 60% ±68 | 3.8d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 117,307.2 | 118,678.34 | 116,540.8 | expired | +0.34% |