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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-15 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 123,783.86 (+5.6%) | 12 | 0.3% | 2h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 12% ±17 | 54% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±17 | 17% ±33 | 57% ±69 | 6.2d | 1.13% | 0.81% | 83 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,589.63 (+2.9%) | 6.0 | 1.2% | 5h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 21% ±19 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 20% ±19 | 64% ±38 | 68% ±53 | 2.1d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 105 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,229.1 (+2.6%) | 5.3 | 1.7% | 8h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 27% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±4 | 27% ±25 | 59% ±48 | 63% ±67 | 2.5d | — | — | 70 → 2 |
| 7D POC | 118,817.69 (+1.4%) | 2.8 | 6.3% | 2.1d | 3.8d ago · 117× | 64% ±47 | 29% ±24 | 12% ±17 | 59% ±26 | 14 | 19% ±16 | 64% ±47 | 80% | 80% | 18h | 1.03% | 0.83% | 24 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 118,261.28–118,515.19 (+0.9%) | 1.8 | 8.1% | 3.0d | 3.5d ago · 82× | 72% ±44 | 38% ±26 | 19% ±21 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 24% ±16 | 72% ±39 | 92% ±38 | 92% | 15h | 0.94% | 0.74% | 27 → 1 | |
| at post · 117,230.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 116,551.25 (-0.6%) | 1.2 | 3.4% | 1.3d | 3.2d ago · 100× | 62% ±30 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 32% ±12 | 65% ±28 | 74% ±43 | 82% ±53 | 11h | 1.28% | 0.76% | 63 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 115,531.72–115,785.64 (-1.2%) | 2.6 | 1.8% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 36% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 10% ±9 | 33% ±35 | 48% ±69 | 56% | 1.3d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.