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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-05 14:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,465 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.40 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+1.9%) | 3.7 | 0.2% | 30m | 4.4d ago · 38× | 32% ±12 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±12 | 58% ±21 | 71% ±30 | 2.1d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 377 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 85,638.5–86,387.04 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.3% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 78× | 89% ±9 | 54% ±9 | 20% ±7 | 26% ±8 | 120 | 76% ±5 | 89% ±9 | 94% ±12 | 96% ±15 | 1h | 1.53% | 1.13% | 276 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 85,620.49–85,675.35 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.3% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 91% ±9 | 49% ±9 | 10% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 122 | 75% ±6 | 91% ±9 | 95% ±12 | 97% ±14 | 1h | 1.36% | 0.95% | 233 → 6 | |
| at post · 85,597.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 83,392.88–84,889.96 (-0.8%) | 1.6 | 2.3% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 98× | 71% ±10 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 151 | 33% ±4 | 71% ±10 | 81% ±15 | 84% ±21 | 9h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 456 → 11 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,968.76–84,079.04 (-1.8%) | 3.3 | 4.7% | 1.6d | 3.1d ago · 114× | 38% ±10 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 156 | 8% ±2 | 38% ±10 | 61% ±18 | 75% ±25 | 2.0d | 1.31% | 0.96% | 496 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 82,939.75–82,995.82 (-3.0%) | 5.7 | 1.5% | 11h | 5.7d ago · 99× | 17% ±6 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 126 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±6 | 35% ±12 | 50% ±20 | 5.6d | 1.40% | 1.22% | 1042 → 25 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-3.2%) | 5.9 | 1.1% | 7h | 6.7d ago · 46× | 16% ±9 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±9 | 34% ±19 | 44% ±31 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 405 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,402.6 (-8.4%) | 16 | 2.5% | 18h | 19.0d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 18% ±14 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1120 → 27 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.