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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-05 18:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,465 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.40 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+1.9%) | 3.4 | 0.2% | 32m | 4.4d ago · 38× | 35% ±12 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 7% ±3 | 35% ±12 | 62% ±22 | 75% ±30 | 1.8d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 345 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 85,665.75 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.6% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 92% ±8 | 48% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 122 | 80% ±5 | 92% ±8 | 96% ±10 | 99% ±9 | 1h | 1.37% | 1.02% | 247 → 6 | |
| at post · 85,613 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 85,577.65 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.5% | 10h | 1.4d ago · 58× | 88% ±16 | 46% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 67 | 79% ±8 | 88% ±16 | 92% ±24 | 96% ±27 | 1h | 1.29% | 0.91% | 97 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 83,392.88–84,889.96 (-0.8%) | 1.5 | 2.6% | 23h | 1.3d ago · 98× | 74% ±10 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 151 | 37% ±4 | 74% ±10 | 84% ±14 | 87% ±20 | 8h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 456 → 11 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,968.76–84,079.04 (-1.8%) | 3.2 | 5.0% | 1.7d | 3.1d ago · 114× | 41% ±11 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 156 | 9% ±3 | 41% ±11 | 62% ±18 | 76% ±24 | 1.7d | 1.31% | 0.96% | 485 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 82,939.75–83,086.32 (-3.0%) | 5.2 | 1.9% | 13h | 5.7d ago · 99× | 19% ±6 | 51% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 126 | 3% ±1 | 19% ±6 | 37% ±12 | 52% ±20 | 5.1d | 1.40% | 1.22% | 1054 → 25 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-3.2%) | 5.6 | 1.2% | 7h | 6.7d ago · 46× | 17% ±9 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±9 | 37% ±20 | 47% ±33 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 394 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,402.6 (-8.4%) | 15 | 2.7% | 19h | 19.0d ago · 37× | 2% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±7 | 20% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1144 → 27 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.