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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-05 22:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,465 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.40 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+1.6%) | 3.1 | 0.2% | 30m | 4.4d ago · 38× | 38% ±13 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 8% ±3 | 37% ±13 | 65% ±22 | 78% ±29 | 1.5d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 321 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 85,892.01 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.8% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 93% ±8 | 48% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 122 | 82% ±5 | 93% ±8 | 97% ±9 | 99% ±8 | 1h | 1.37% | 1.02% | 230 → 5 | |
| at post · 85,884 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 85,539.78 (-0.4%) | 0.8 | 2.5% | 11h | 1.4d ago · 58× | 79% ±15 | 46% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 44% ±12 | 67 | 64% ±7 | 79% ±15 | 89% ±20 | 96% ±19 | 2h | 1.29% | 0.91% | 170 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 83,392.88–84,889.96 (-1.2%) | 2.2 | 2.3% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 98× | 57% ±11 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 151 | 19% ±4 | 57% ±11 | 72% ±17 | 79% ±24 | 17h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 471 → 11 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 83,968.76–84,079.04 (-2.1%) | 4.0 | 4.6% | 1.6d | 3.1d ago · 114× | 29% ±10 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 156 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±10 | 55% ±18 | 69% ±26 | 2.4d | 1.31% | 0.96% | 523 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL | 83,267.34 (-3.0%) | 5.9 | 2.1% | 15h | 5.7d ago · 99× | 19% ±6 | 55% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 126 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±6 | 39% ±13 | 54% ±20 | 5.8d | 1.48% | 1.16% | 1048 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL | 82,975.05 (-3.4%) | 6.5 | 1.4% | 10h | 19.5d ago · 56× | 11% ±5 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±5 | 26% ±12 | 42% ±21 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 925 → 22 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-3.5%) | 6.7 | 1.1% | 7h | 6.7d ago · 46× | 14% ±8 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±8 | 29% ±18 | 39% ±30 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 434 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,402.6 (-8.7%) | 17 | 2.5% | 17h | 19.0d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 17% ±15 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1107 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.