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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-06 02:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,465 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.40 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+2.1%) | 4.1 | 0.2% | 28m | 4.4d ago · 38× | 27% ±10 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 4% ±2 | 27% ±10 | 54% ±20 | 66% ±28 | 2.7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 442 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH | 85,879.8 (+0.5%) | 0.9 | 2.8% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 80% ±9 | 48% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 122 | 57% ±5 | 80% ±9 | 88% ±13 | 91% ±17 | 3h | 1.37% | 1.02% | 454 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,539.78 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.5% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 89% ±11 | 49% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 41% ±10 | 93 | 71% ±6 | 89% ±11 | 92% ±16 | 94% ±20 | 1h | 1.35% | 0.85% | 193 → 5 | |
| at post · 85,492.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 83,392.88–84,889.96 (-0.7%) | 1.4 | 2.3% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 98× | 77% ±9 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 151 | 42% ±4 | 77% ±9 | 87% ±13 | 88% ±19 | 6h | 1.42% | 0.94% | 467 → 11 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 83,996.19–84,178.6 (-1.5%) | 3.1 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 114× | 41% ±11 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 156 | 9% ±3 | 41% ±11 | 62% ±18 | 76% ±25 | 1.7d | 1.31% | 0.96% | 482 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 83,316.96 (-2.5%) | 5.1 | 2.2% | 16h | 5.7d ago · 99× | 23% ±6 | 55% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 126 | 3% ±1 | 23% ±6 | 42% ±13 | 57% ±19 | 4.9d | 1.48% | 1.16% | 1041 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL | 82,975.05 (-2.9%) | 5.8 | 1.4% | 10h | 19.5d ago · 56× | 14% ±6 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 29% ±13 | 45% ±21 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 870 → 21 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-3.0%) | 6.0 | 1.1% | 6h | 6.7d ago · 46× | 16% ±9 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±9 | 34% ±19 | 43% ±31 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 412 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,402.6 (-8.3%) | 16 | 2.4% | 17h | 19.0d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±7 | 17% ±14 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1117 → 27 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.