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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-10-06 06:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,465 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.40 to 0.09) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 87,260.34 (+2.3%) | 5.2 | 0.1% | 25m | 4.4d ago · 38× | 18% ±8 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±7 | 41% ±17 | 56% ±26 | 5.6d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 601 → 14 | |
| 7D VAH | 85,886.19 (+0.7%) | 1.6 | 2.5% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 89× | 65% ±10 | 48% ±9 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±9 | 122 | 33% ±4 | 65% ±10 | 80% ±15 | 87% ±19 | 10h | 1.37% | 1.02% | 485 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 85,492.29 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 2.4% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 84% ±11 | 49% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 41% ±10 | 93 | 63% ±6 | 85% ±11 | 90% ±15 | 92% ±22 | 2h | 1.35% | 0.85% | 269 → 6 | |
| at post · 85,266.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 83,392.88–84,889.96 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 2.0% | 17h | 1.2d ago · 98× | 87% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 152 | 61% ±4 | 87% ±7 | 93% ±9 | 94% ±13 | 2h | 1.39% | 0.94% | 505 → 12 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 83,996.19–84,192.92 (-1.3%) | 2.8 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 114× | 45% ±11 | 47% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 156 | 11% ±3 | 45% ±11 | 65% ±18 | 78% ±25 | 1.5d | 1.31% | 0.96% | 476 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 83,335.29 (-2.3%) | 5.0 | 2.0% | 15h | 5.6d ago · 99× | 23% ±6 | 55% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 126 | 3% ±1 | 23% ±6 | 43% ±13 | 57% ±19 | 4.9d | 1.48% | 1.16% | 1038 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL | 82,975.05 (-2.7%) | 6.0 | 1.2% | 9h | 19.5d ago · 56× | 14% ±6 | 43% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±11 | 74 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 29% ±13 | 44% ±21 | > 7d | 1.26% | 1.33% | 879 → 21 | |
| LVN zone | 81,521.52–82,893.85 (-2.8%) | 6.2 | 0.9% | 6h | 6.6d ago · 46× | 16% ±9 | 42% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±9 | 33% ±19 | 42% ±31 | > 7d | 1.20% | 1.19% | 416 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 78,402.6 (-8.1%) | 18 | 2.1% | 15h | 19.0d ago · 37× | 1% ±2 | 46% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±6 | 16% ±14 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.28% | 1079 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.