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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-06 02:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+2.6%) | 5.1 | 0.6% | 3h | 18.4d ago · 44× | 20% ±8 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 3% ±1 | 19% ±8 | 39% ±17 | 60% ±27 | 4.9d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 566 → 13 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,723.94–2,727.95 (+0.9%) | 1.7 | 2.4% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 57% ±11 | 54% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 42% ±9 | 123 | 26% ±4 | 57% ±11 | 74% ±17 | 87% ±19 | 15h | 2.16% | 1.39% | 485 → 12 | |
| at post · 2,700.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,694.44 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 4.3% | 1.7d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 88% ±7 | 52% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 39% ±7 | 166 | 73% ±4 | 88% ±7 | 93% ±10 | 97% ±10 | 1h | 2.06% | 1.22% | 450 → 11 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,683.08–2,685.07 (-0.6%) | 1.1 | 4.6% | 2.3d | 1.3d ago · 84× | 76% ±10 | 50% ±9 | 12% ±6 | 37% ±8 | 128 | 51% ±5 | 76% ±10 | 88% ±13 | 92% ±17 | 4h | 1.95% | 1.36% | 430 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,672.81 (-1.0%) | 2.0 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 84× | 46% ±10 | 56% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±8 | 123 | 19% ±3 | 46% ±10 | 67% ±17 | 77% ±23 | 1.3d | 2.27% | 1.25% | 544 → 13 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,664.84 (-1.3%) | 2.6 | 2.3% | 16h | 4.2d ago · 58× | 31% ±10 | 47% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 78 | 9% ±2 | 31% ±10 | 52% ±18 | 67% ±26 | 2.8d | 2.10% | 1.73% | 541 → 13 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-3.4%) | 6.7 | 0.8% | 3h | 13.4d ago · 46× | 10% ±7 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 20% ±15 | 27% ±26 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 464 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 2,464.94–2,514.42 (-6.9%) | 14 | 2.5% | 22h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 2% ±3 | 48% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 137 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±12 | 16% ±22 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.50% | 451 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,496.43 (-7.6%) | 15 | 2.9% | 23h | 20.0d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±7 | 21% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1171 → 28 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.