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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-10-06 06:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,404 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0037), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,770.78 (+2.8%) | 6.1 | 0.5% | 3h | 18.4d ago · 44× | 14% ±6 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 63 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 31% ±15 | 52% ±24 | 6.5d | 1.82% | 1.50% | 668 → 16 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,723.94–2,724.71 (+1.0%) | 2.3 | 2.1% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 51% ±10 | 54% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 42% ±9 | 123 | 17% ±3 | 51% ±10 | 70% ±16 | 85% ±19 | 1.0d | 2.16% | 1.39% | 600 → 14 | |
| at post · 2,696.47 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,692.07–2,694.44 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.9% | 1.6d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 89% ±8 | 53% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 38% ±7 | 166 | 77% ±4 | 89% ±8 | 94% ±10 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 2.08% | 1.18% | 386 → 9 | |
| 14D POC | 2,685.07 (-0.4%) | 0.9 | 4.0% | 2.0d | 1.2d ago · 84× | 83% ±9 | 47% ±9 | 15% ±6 | 38% ±8 | 128 | 64% ±4 | 83% ±9 | 92% ±11 | 94% ±14 | 2h | 1.82% | 1.56% | 445 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,674.12 (-0.8%) | 1.8 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 84× | 50% ±11 | 56% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±8 | 123 | 22% ±4 | 50% ±11 | 71% ±17 | 80% ±23 | 1.1d | 2.27% | 1.25% | 521 → 12 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,663.23 (-1.2%) | 2.8 | 1.8% | 12h | 4.1d ago · 58× | 30% ±9 | 47% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 78 | 8% ±2 | 30% ±9 | 51% ±17 | 67% ±25 | 2.8d | 2.10% | 1.73% | 573 → 14 | |
| LVN zone | 2,586.38–2,608.87 (-3.2%) | 7.2 | 0.7% | 2h | 13.3d ago · 46× | 8% ±6 | 53% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 37% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 17% ±14 | 24% ±24 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.67% | 510 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 2,464.94–2,514.42 (-6.8%) | 15 | 2.2% | 19h | 1.6d ago · 84× | 2% ±3 | 48% ±8 | 22% ±7 | 30% ±8 | 137 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±12 | 14% ±21 | > 7d | 1.90% | 1.50% | 414 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,496.43 (-7.4%) | 17 | 2.6% | 20h | 20.0d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 54% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 42% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 19% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.37% | 1110 → 26 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.