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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-16 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 123,276.04 (+4.7%) | 10 | 0.3% | 2h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 14% ±18 | 54% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 38% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±17 | 20% ±35 | 59% ±68 | 5.9d | 1.13% | 0.81% | 89 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,775.62 (+2.5%) | 5.7 | 1.0% | 3h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 23% ±19 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±19 | 66% ±38 | 69% ±52 | 2.0d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 113 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,229.1 (+2.1%) | 4.6 | 1.6% | 8h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 34% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±4 | 34% ±28 | 71% ±44 | 73% ±61 | 1.7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 118,261.28–118,685.75 (+0.4%) | 0.9 | 7.4% | 2.8d | 3.5d ago · 117× | 85% ±29 | 35% ±24 | 15% ±18 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 51% ±16 | 83% ±28 | 97% ±22 | 97% | 4h | 1.01% | 0.76% | 39 → 1 | |
| at post · 117,772.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 116,841.74 (-0.8%) | 1.8 | 3.0% | 22h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 53% ±28 | 44% ±27 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 18% ±9 | 55% ±27 | 66% ±47 | 73% ±62 | 20h | 1.28% | 0.51% | 76 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,912.59 (-1.6%) | 3.5 | 1.8% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 30% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 8% ±7 | 29% ±27 | 50% ±49 | 64% ±66 | 3.4d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 115,531.72 (-1.9%) | 4.2 | 2.0% | 8h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 7% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±5 | 6% ±17 | 8% ±31 | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 49 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.