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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-16 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 123,022.13 (+4.6%) | 10 | 0.3% | 1h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 14% ±18 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 13% ±17 | 20% ±35 | 58% ±68 | 5.9d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 90 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,775.62 (+2.7%) | 6.1 | 0.9% | 3h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 21% ±20 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 20% ±19 | 62% ±39 | 66% ±65 | 2.2d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 101 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,229.1 (+2.3%) | 5.1 | 1.6% | 8h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 28% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±4 | 27% ±25 | 62% ±48 | 66% ±65 | 2.3d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 118,515.19–118,685.75 (+0.8%) | 1.8 | 6.7% | 2.1d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 79% ±33 | 35% ±24 | 15% ±18 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 32% ±15 | 76% ±34 | 94% ±33 | 94% | 14h | 1.01% | 0.76% | 37 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,007.37 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 7.4% | 2.9d | 3.6d ago · 71× | 88% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 67% ±16 | 83% ±30 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 1h | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| at post · 117,578.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 116,923.69 (-0.6%) | 1.3 | 2.8% | 20h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 62% ±30 | 44% ±27 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 31% ±11 | 63% ±28 | 73% ±43 | 82% ±54 | 11h | 1.28% | 0.51% | 66 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,912.59 (-1.4%) | 3.2 | 1.8% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 58× | 35% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 8% ±7 | 34% ±29 | 57% ±56 | 74% | 2.3d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 115,531.72 (-1.7%) | 3.9 | 2.0% | 8h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 5% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 5% ±6 | 5% ±16 | 7% ±36 | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.