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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-16 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,895.17 (+4.4%) | 10 | 0.3% | 1h | 3.8d ago · 67× | 13% ±17 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 13% ±16 | 21% ±36 | 58% ±68 | 5.9d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 93 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 121,021.49 (+2.8%) | 6.5 | 0.8% | 2h | 4.2d ago · 89× | 20% ±20 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 19% ±19 | 63% ±42 | 66% ±66 | 2.2d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 96 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,229.1 (+2.1%) | 4.9 | 1.6% | 7h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 29% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±4 | 28% ±25 | 62% ±48 | 65% ±66 | 2.2d | — | — | 69 → 2 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 118,515.19–118,685.75 (+0.7%) | 1.6 | 6.5% | 2.0d | 3.7d ago · 117× | 82% ±31 | 35% ±24 | 15% ±18 | 50% ±25 | 15 | 35% ±15 | 78% ±33 | 97% ±22 | 97% | 10h | 1.01% | 0.76% | 38 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,007.37 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 7.1% | 2.8d | 3.7d ago · 71× | 90% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 71% ±16 | 86% ±30 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 1h | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| at post · 117,699.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 117,169.56 (-0.5%) | 1.0 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 101× | 68% ±31 | 44% ±27 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 37% ±12 | 68% ±28 | 79% ±40 | 85% ±50 | 8h | 1.28% | 0.51% | 63 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,912.59 (-1.5%) | 3.5 | 1.7% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 58× | 30% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 8% ±6 | 28% ±27 | 49% ±49 | 64% ±67 | 3.4d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 115,531.72 (-1.8%) | 4.2 | 2.0% | 8h | 22.9d ago · 37× | 6% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±5 | 6% ±15 | 8% ±31 | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 51 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.