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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-16 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,518 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.46 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,514.3 (+4.1%) | 12 | 0.2% | 59m | 3.7d ago · 67× | 12% ±18 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 12% ±17 | 17% ±33 | 58% ±68 | 6.0d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 85 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,939.54 (+2.7%) | 8.1 | 0.7% | 2h | 4.1d ago · 89× | 19% ±22 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 3% ±4 | 18% ±21 | 57% ±48 | 65% ±66 | 2.4d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 77 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,229.1 (+2.1%) | 6.3 | 1.3% | 6h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 17% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 16% ±19 | 43% ±43 | 47% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 88 → 2 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 118,515.19–118,685.75 (+0.7%) | 2.0 | 5.0% | 1.5d | 3.6d ago · 117× | 75% ±42 | 37% ±24 | 14% ±18 | 49% ±25 | 15 | 21% ±14 | 68% ±41 | 90% ±41 | 90% | 16h | 1.04% | 0.75% | 32 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,007.37 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 5.5% | 2.2d | 3.6d ago · 71× | 88% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 63% ±16 | 79% ±33 | 97% ±22 | 97% | 1h | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| at post · 117,706 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 117,169.56 (-0.5%) | 1.3 | 2.7% | 19h | 1.2d ago · 101× | 65% ±28 | 44% ±27 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 29% ±11 | 62% ±27 | 72% ±44 | 80% ±55 | 12h | 1.28% | 0.51% | 71 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 115,912.59 (-1.5%) | 4.5 | 1.4% | 5h | 1.1d ago · 58× | 15% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 4% ±4 | 14% ±19 | 32% ±46 | 50% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 78 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 115,531.72 (-1.8%) | 5.4 | 1.5% | 6h | 22.8d ago · 37× | 12% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±4 | 11% ±19 | 13% ±33 | 13% ±46 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.