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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-16 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,260.39 (+4.0%) | 15 | 0.3% | 1h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 9% ±19 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±31 | 59% | 6.3d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,857.58 (+2.8%) | 10 | 0.5% | 1h | 3.9d ago · 89× | 19% ±25 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 3% ±5 | 17% ±23 | 39% ±55 | 54% | 6.3d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 120,229.1 (+2.2%) | 8.4 | 1.0% | 4h | 8.0d ago · 38× | 5% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±10 | 22% ±33 | 40% ±55 | > 7d | — | — | 108 → 3 |
| 7D POC | 118,685.75 (+0.9%) | 3.4 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 3.7d ago · 117× | 48% ±49 | 33% ±24 | 11% ±16 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 14% ±13 | 43% ±49 | 53% | 53% | 1.3d | 1.07% | 0.77% | 26 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 118,515.19 (+0.8%) | 2.9 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 3.4d ago · 82× | 69% ±37 | 41% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 15% ±11 | 65% ±38 | 83% ±52 | 83% | 15h | 1.02% | 0.72% | 38 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,007.37 (+0.3%) | 1.3 | 4.4% | 1.7d | 3.4d ago · 71× | 83% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 53% ±17 | 72% ±36 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 3h | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| at post · 117,606.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 117,169.56 (-0.4%) | 1.4 | 2.1% | 15h | 3.1d ago · 100× | 63% ±28 | 44% ±27 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 27% ±10 | 60% ±28 | 71% ±44 | 80% ±56 | 13h | 1.28% | 0.51% | 72 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 116,039.55 (-1.3%) | 5.0 | 1.1% | 4h | 2.2d ago · 57× | 10% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±15 | 26% ±38 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 115,531.72 (-1.8%) | 6.6 | 1.2% | 5h | 22.6d ago · 37× | 10% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 9% ±17 | 14% ±34 | 14% ±49 | > 7d | — | — | 65 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.