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BTC · 1h · posted 2025-08-17 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,516 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.45 to 0.10) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 122,272.59 (+4.3%) | 19 | 0.2% | 1h | 3.6d ago · 67× | 5% ±16 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±14 | 4% ±23 | 56% | 6.7d | 1.35% | 0.51% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 120,765.53 (+3.0%) | 13 | 0.4% | 1h | 4.0d ago · 89× | 10% ±26 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±26 | 17% ±52 | 45% | > 7d | 1.21% | 0.87% | 30 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 119,975.18 (+2.4%) | 10 | 0.9% | 5h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 13% ±27 | 33% ±53 | > 7d | — | — | 108 → 3 |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 118,714.64–118,743.45 (+1.3%) | 5.7 | 2.9% | 21h | 3.5d ago · 117× | 21% ±33 | 37% ±24 | 14% ±18 | 49% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±6 | 21% ±33 | 37% ±67 | 65% | 4.3d | 1.04% | 0.75% | 37 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 118,007.37 (+0.7%) | 3.0 | 3.7% | 1.5d | 3.5d ago · 71× | 50% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 13% ±13 | 50% ±44 | 76% ±59 | 76% | 22h | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| at post · 117,204.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 117,146.32 (-0.0%) | 0.2 | 1.7% | 12h | 3.2d ago · 100× | 79% ±35 | 44% ±27 | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 13 | 63% ±16 | 80% ±32 | 87% ±47 | 94% | 2h | 1.28% | 0.51% | 33 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 116,171.36 (-0.9%) | 3.9 | 0.9% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 57× | 20% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±22 | 38% ±48 | 57% ±69 | 3.9d | — | — | 73 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 115,277.81 (-1.6%) | 7.2 | 1.2% | 6h | 22.7d ago · 37× | 9% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 8% ±16 | 13% ±33 | 13% ±47 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.